Thursday, September 27, 2007

Train Employees For Disaster Preparedness

Train Employees For Disaster Preparedness

9.27.2007

Just came across this article and thought it was really good. It’s so important to have employee disasters plans especially for those who must work through a hurricane. When developing such a disaster plan it is vital that the plan also include how the employees are going to take the necessary time to prepare for a hurricane at their own home and how they will safe guard their loved ones during the crisis.

COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?

Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.

All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie

Web Site: www.trainforahurricane.com

Web Bog: http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. Her neweest book is Train For A Hurricane. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.

©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved

All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.

Training for Disaster: Are your employees trained for a hurricane?

September 05, 2006

By David Barron

http://www.presentations.com/msg/content_display/training/e3iba76Bqzy2OvMsHS34K7MhQ==

A Category 5 hurricane is bearing down on your office. Most of your employees have not shown up for work, and the ones who have are anxious to get home and evacuate. You are in urgent need of getting your business ready for what could be a disaster of epic proportions, but don't know where to start or how to get everything done in time before the storm hits.

Is this your company? If so, you need to start planning now. Last year, we all learned that a major hurricane, even if it does not hit your city directly, can turn the entire area upside down. Companies dealt with unprecedented human resources issues during Rita, with employees scattered along evacuation routes or temporarily living in company offices. In the aftermath, we all learned valuable lessons that prudent companies will put to use in drafting a plan for dealing with the labor issues during the next hurricane. The key is adopting policies and procedures beforehand that will minimize confusion in a few key areas.

Requiring Employees to Work During A Hurricane

Every employee's first instinct in a hurricane will be to protect his or her family and property. However, each business must have a critical group of employees on the job during an emergency to protect the company's assets. Whether it is an IT manager charged with guarding the safety of the company's data, or a maintenance supervisor responsible for ensuring that dangerous chemicals don?t explode or leak, most businesses will need someone on the scene during a storm.

It is therefore important for each company to identify critical personnel and explain the expectations of them in the event of a hurricane. Texas law prohibits a company from retaliating against an employee who is absent from work because he or she obeys an evacuation order, unless the employee is providing emergency services or is "a person necessary to provide for the safety and well being of the general public." Know what the law is in your state.

We’re not done with 2007 Hurricane Season!

We’re not done with 2007 Hurricane Season!

9.27.2007

I was really tired last night as I worked at my computer. I accidentally googled ‘end of hurricane season” and was surprised at the article I found. It was an article from CBS News from September 23, 2005! I was surprised at how timely it was. In fact for a weary eyed moment I thought it was talking about right now.

You see, disasters such as hurricanes come and go every year, they are going to occur no matter if we like it or not. These hurricane disasters cause damage great and small in their wake. Sometimes like in Hurricane Katrina the hurricane damage is felt for a very long time.

October it turns out is often the busiest month of the hurricane season according to historical records. Many of the hurricanes that form this time of the year develop closer to the Untied States like Katrina and Rita did.

We are fortunate that our media such as TV, radio, cell phone alerts and the internet have all contributed to a significant reduction in the number of fatalities associated with many of the hurricanes that are experienced in the past.

The issue for us in the 21st century is that so many now want to live on or near the coastal shores of our country. We have so many wonderful areas with great vistas of ocean waves rolling into shore and the sand is a great place to play or sit and relax. Yet those beautiful waves coming to shore on a nice sunny day are also killer waves that ravage the same shores in a hurricane.

With so many of our sand dunes removed to build condos and hotels along the shore, the sandy beaches are also being eaten away by the run-off of storm water from the nearby concrete as well as storm surges in a hurricane. So now we are experiencing a natural disaster as well as a human and property disaster as well. One thing is for sure nature really doesn’t like it.

Those who live in these hurricane prone areas need to have as much hurricane information as possible. It is only with strong foundation n hurricane knowledge that responsible living in the coastal region of the US can help individuals prepare for a hurricane.

No one can stress enough if you are going to play or stay in coastal regions of the US then you need to have a hurricane disaster plan. If you think a hurricane is bad you should see the grocery stores and the home improvement warehouses the days before the hurricane is predicted to hit. It’s no fun to have to wait in line for gasoline or plywood.

Hurricane supplies should be bought months ahead of the first possible storm. Much of what is necessary to have on hand is able to be purchased reasonably during hurricane off-season prices. Much can be bought even at 40-70% off the price during the hurricane season.

Much of what can make hurricane recovery easier and more comfortable are one time expenses. The biggest danger in a hurricane is procrastination! Everyone no matter the age or circumstance should have a personal hurricane kit. Yep the infant in diapers to the most senior of senior citizens should have their own disaster kit. Each disaster kit should be personalized to meet that individual’s person needs and circumstances.

These disaster kits need to be made up even for the cat, dog, hamster and goat. Hurricane pet disaster kits are extremely important as well. Too many wonderful pets and livestock had to be abandoned, left to die terrible deaths because emergency disaster plans were not developed ahead of time to save all members of the family including the family pet. If you don’t know disasters and pets tehn I strongly suggest you read my book Emergency Get & Go Disaster Guide For Pets. You see pets also need to be protected in a disaster as well.

If you don’t have a comprehensive hurricane disaster plan developed you will often you will over pay for hurricane supplies and services as well as be woefully under prepared for a hurricane. It may take you a weekend to complete the disaster plan (in-between football games on TV and other important things around the house) but it will be well worth it.

On the radio the other day I was informed by the radio newscaster that there is less than 3 months before Christmas. If you know someone who is living in a hurricane area instead of the traditional fruitcake for the winter holidays why not give them a hurricane disaster kit instead, It will do a lot more for their long term life and they will certainly appreciate it now and when the winds begin to blow. Better yet why not give them a copy of my book Train For A Hurricane so that they can really get ready for a hurricane.

No mater if you get my book or not. The most important thing is to be prepared for a hurricane.

QUESTION??? What are you doing to prepare for a hurricane? What do you think you should do to prepare for hurricane storms?

COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?


Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.


All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.


Peace, blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie

Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

Web Site: www.trainforahurricane.com

Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. Her newest book is Train For A Hurricane. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.

©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved

All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.


Hurricane Season Only Half Over

October Called The Busiest Storm Month In South Florida

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/09/24/earlyshow/saturday/main881933.shtml

Sept. 24, 20005

(CBS) The midpoint of the fourth-busiest hurricane season on record has just passed, but America's coastal areas aren't out of the woods yet.

In South Florida, reports CBS News hurricane analyst Bryan Norcross, October is traditionally the busiest hurricane month. That's generally when storms form close to the United States., much the way Katrina and Rita did.

"The storms that have formed this year have tended to form close to the United States, Norcorss said in an interview with co-anchor Russ Mitchell on The Saturday Early Show. " Think about Katrina and Rita. They didn't form way out in the ocean as we saw last year."

Rita is the 17th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and continues through November. That has plenty of people wondering what's going on: Are hurricanes getting stronger and more frequent?

"Well, I refer them back to the late '40s, where we had five major hurricanes in six years," Norcross says. "In the late '20s, we had a mega-hurricane called the Great Miami Hurricane, in 1926. Up the coast, Palm Beach was wiped out and maybe 3,000 people died in the great 1928 hurricane. So it has happened in the past.

"Also, there was a year, Russ, 1893, when over 2,000 people were killed in South Carolina, 2,000 people were killed in Louisiana. A hurricane hit New York City all in the same year. So the hurricane events have happened, but the changes in media have made our perception of it different."

The changes in media, and in forecasting, also has cut the casualty rates over the decades. Early warning has enabled cities and towns to evacuate, moving their citizens out of harm's way.

More than a week ago, Gerry Bell, a seasonal hurricane forecaster for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)., told Mitchell that hurricane activity comes in cycles that can last several decades.

It seems, Mitchell observed, Mother Nature has mood swings.

"The previous active hurricane era was during the 1950s and 60s. Then we were pretty inactive for about a 25-year period, from 1970 to 1994, and now we're back in an active hurricane era," Bell points out.

In the '50s and '60s, the Gulf Coast was hit hard and often, as storms such as Audrey, Donna, Betsy and Camille came ashore. In the '70s and '80s, that same region had only one major hurricane, Frederic, which hit Mobile, Ala. in 1979.

But since 1990, the number of big hurricanes in the Gulf region is up again and, says Bell, there's no end in sight: "We can expect continued high levels of hurricane activities and high levels of hurricane landfalls for the next decade, or perhaps even longer."

Why? Bell says hurricane cycles are primarily driven by rainfall patterns in Africa and the Amazon basin.

"Those rainfall patterns tend to last for 20 to 30 years at a time," he explains, "and as a result, so do the wind and air pressure patterns over the Atlantic that control hurricane activity."

Sea surface temperatures have risen, Mitchell noted, but scientists point out that ocean temperatures go through cycles as well, and that we're in a warm cycle.

Still, many in the field believe global warming may be at least a contributing factor in increased water temperatures.

"The water temperature is quite essential to the strength of a hurricane, and it only takes 2 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit to be the difference, to being able to support a Category 3 hurricane and a Category 5 hurricane," says Michael Schlacter, a meteorologist with Weather 2000. "So (whether) it's global warming, the cycles, or just a hot summer, those little bits of increase in temperature can mean a big difference in how severe the storms are."

How concerned should people be who live in an area that's susceptible to hurricanes?

"I would be very concerned," Schlacter warns. "As far as Americans love being near the beach, and as far as we have severe weather that's constantly threatening these coastlines, it's kind of a teeter-totter that we're going to be living with for some time."

©MMV, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Art Speaks Of Hurricane Pain

Hurricane Katrina In Art

The soul must often find expression in ways that go beyond the mere words that are used everyday. When there is a monumental incident in an individual or community’s life hose affected either personally or as distant grievers is expressed in art. This form of art is known as Thanostic art’ The word ‘thanostic’ comes from the word ‘thanos’ which is Greek for death. At Ohio State University there is a special event September 26th, 2007 from 11:00AM to 6:00PM at the Wexner Center. It will offer ten vignettes of the lives of different residents along the Mississippi coast who suffered and lived out the horrors of the Hurricane Katrina experience. I have not personally seen this artistic rendition but I know from other thanostic art displays it can be some of the most revealing and inspiring means f communicating a poignant truth about life during and after a disaster especially a hurricane.


I hope that at this event and others like it will be not only shared in person on the local and regional levels but can find a way to be made available to the world through the internet. If these 10 vignettes were offered for viewing through a secured disaster contribution manner to help the special disaster needs of Hurricane Katrina survivors then I know I would be the first in line to participate in such a noble cause.

Congrats to Ohio State University and the talented artist Liza Johnson, Ben Mor and Ivor Shearer for their gift of art and the courage to share these consciousness raising presentations to the community at large!

For more information see the following announcement:

Peace, Blessings And Be Safe!

Terrie

Artists Respond to Hurricane Katrina

http://www.osu.edu/events/eventView.php?Event_ID=388901

Event: Artists Respond to Hurricane Katrina

Brooklyn-based Liza Johnson's South of Ten (10 mins., 2006) offers ten vignettes from the everyday lives of residents of coastal Mississippi. New Orleans filmmaker Ivor Shearer's Waterline Simulacrum (32 secs., 2006) is a powerful visual reminder of the extent of damage in New Orleans. One of the first filmmakers to gain access to the catastrophically devasted Lower 9th Ward in New Orleans was Ben Mor, who's based in Los Angeles. His Help is Coming (8 mins., 2006) presents a telling view of the harsh reality that victims of the disaster faced and the empty promises on which they relied.

Date and time: September 26, 2007

11:00 AM - 6:00 PM

Location: Wexner Center

Contact: Not given

Phone Number: 614-292-3535

Event category: Arts

Event Type: Film

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Hurricane Must Have

9.25.2007


Now a days you go into a store and WOW there are so many things that scream out at you saying "Oh buy ME". Yea right, a fancy coffee maker that can tell you the time for coffee in 20 languages or a Don't forget to walk the Dog button alarm for the kitchen door. OK so there are other things even more interesting in the stores that make life much more interesting, fun and easy to live. I'm grateful for them all.

Yet one this that is not a fun thing, not sexy or will be used every day but EVERONE who has weather should have. Yep, it's a NOAA weather radio.

We live in a complex and complicated world not just due to weather but all kinds of stuff including disasters and terrorism. So by having something that can save our lives or in some other way safeguard us is special. Don't you think that such an item should be put at the top of our list of MUST HAVE ITEMS?

You got to admit that a coffee that can tell you the time for coffee in 20 languages or reminds you abut the dog really can't save your life or that of a loved one but this simple little radio sure can. Hey I don’t own stock in any of these weather alert radio companies, but I do own stock in doing all I can to keep myself safe, I hope you do too! SO---GET ONE!!

COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past? Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog. All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Peace, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie


Web Site: www.trainforahurricane.com

Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com

Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reservedAll writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.


Orlando Sentinel - Hurricane Blog - A minute-by-minute account of developments in Central Florida brought to you by the Orlando Sentinel:
" Tornado shows need for weather radio
posted by John A. Cutter on Sep 21, 2007 3:44:13 PM Discuss "http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/news_weather_hurricane/

Lake County sent this news release this afternoon:

EUSTIS — Officials from the Lake County Department of Public Safety, Emergency Management Division, are reiterating the need for residents to use NOAA weather radios after the fourth tornado in Lake County in less than a year occurred last night.

"Thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, hurricanes, bomb scares, chemical spills and brush fires. These are just a few of the potential hazards residents can face in Lake County," said Jerry Smith, Director of the Emergency Management Division.

"Having a battery operated, tone-alert NOAA Weather Radio in your home is like having your own personal tornado siren - only it will alert you of all these impending dangers. In every Lake County home, a NOAA Weather Radio should be as common as a smoke detector."

A weather radio broadcasts National Weather Service warnings, watches, forecasts and other non-weather related hazard information 24 hours a day. When a threat is determined, National Weather Service forecasters interrupt routine weather programming and transmit a special tone that automatically activates weather radios. This instant emergency notification can give you and your family valuable seconds to seek shelter.

Some of the recommended features for a weather radio include: Tone alarm – Activates weather radio to sound, even if the audio is turned off. Selectable alerting of events – Allows an operator to turn off the alarm for certain events, which might not be pertinent. For example, if an individual lives in a coastal county, but not right at the beach, he or she might not wish to know about Coastal Flood Warnings. Battery backup – Since power outages often occur during storms, having a receiver with battery backup can be crucial. SAME technology – Specific Alert Message Encoding allows operator to specify the particular area for which to receive alerts. For more information about weather radios, log on to www.lakecountyfl.gov or www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr/.

Besides Hurricane Winds

Besides Hurricane Winds


So often when we think of a hurricane we think of the torrential rain and the horrific winds that can blow a house a part in a matter of moments. Well that is true and something to be concerned about if your area is under a hurricane situation.

Yet even when a storm has not officially reached a hurricane status and is called a tropical depression or storm it is still a dangerous situation. You see, it is not only the hurricane winds that affect a community. There is great danger of a tornado hitting the area when the weather conditions are affected by a tropical storm occurrence.

Besides the hurricane the tornado can even be believe it or not even more destructive. With a hurricane you know days in advance that a hurricane is possibly headed for your area. You have time to do your hurricane preparations and if necessary to seek hurricane evacuation shelter elsewhere when necessary. In a tornado that is a very different story.


In a tornado you may have only moments to seek shelter and it can blow not only roofs off but whole houses and buildings can disappear in the blink of an eye. Tornados can be as dangerous as a hurricane. Tornados are often associated with conditions that are also ripe for a hurricane or a tropical storm. They are nothing to play with. Tornados may not last as long as a hurricane while it is passing over head but if a tornado touches down the destruction can have the same affect as a hurricane. No matter if a hurricane or a tornado the pain and suffering that can be experienced by all those who survive a weather disaster can be painful for months and even years.


We have no control over the weather, BUT we do have control over how we act as human beings. We can ignore the possibility of a disaster hitting our region and community in general and even more so deny the possibly that it could affect us personally. That is one option. A very dangerous and foolish option to be sure.

The other option is to be prepared. For what it would cost for a movie and a bucket of popcorn per month a family of 4 can establish a well prepared home for any disaster that might come their way. If a family is prepared then no matter how long it takes to get the aid agencies and government support to arrive, one thing is very certain and that is the family will not be stranded without anything. They will survive with what they need to make it through a difficult time.

What would you rather have a fleeting memory of a movie and popcorn or a family that is safe and secured? I vote for the family safety!


COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?

Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.

All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!


Terrie


Web Site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/

Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com/

Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. Her latest book is: Train For A Hurricane. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.

©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved

All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.

Special Need Individuals and Hurricane Preparations

9.24.2007

Special Need Individuals and Hurricane Preparations


NOW is the time to start to prepare for next year when it comes to issues of Special needs loved ones. I know it seems crazy when we still have two months left in THIS hurricane season to be talking about preparing for next year season. But frankly this IS the time to be preparing.

This is especially true when you need to consider the medical care concerns of loved ones with special needs. Many families don’t realize that in a disaster situation, the companies they contract with to help in the transporting of their loved ones with special transport needs may also have VERY large and profitable contracts with medical facilities that will get priority over the individual contracts for transport. This can mean that you mother or father, brother or sister wife or husband who is in frail condition be ‘accommodated as necessary’. The question then is: ‘Accommodated as necessary” BY WHOM? -- The transport company or the patient / loved one? NOW is the time to find that answer.

A way to help deal with such a situation is to join together with other families in your area and do a collective bargaining with a transport company concerning your loved ones with disabilities in a hurricane situation. The price may be reduced if 3-4 families join together to negotiate a price. Also if the need should arise then there are many more in the group who will be calling for necessary assistance at one time. Additionally if the group can get together and do the research of where to stay in the possibility of a hurricane disaster the research task will go much more swiftly. Better plans can be collectively made and there will be additional helping hands to be of support.

An example of his would be to have 2-3 families join up together and reach and agree on a motel at a safe distance from the general hurricane paths. If the family makes arrangements with the motel a head of time then the handicap rooms will be reserved when needed for their frail – special need loved ones with necessary bathroom supports and barrier free access. The transport company will know that all the families are going to one location so the price will be cheaper and there will be family support for each other during the evacuation process.

One of the great tragedies of the Hurricane Katrina tragedy was the Sunrise Living Services Inc of McLean, VA. The family and others thought they were doing the best for their loved ones in the hurricane transportation arrangements that were made. It’s a shame such a tragedy occurred.

As a result of that incident and the nursing home death in another Gulf Coast nursing home, many families are determined that it is best for them to make their own personal arrangements and provide the necessary care that will be needed during a hurricane situation.

If this is the case for you and your family then it is important to start now to prepare for a hurricane. Also it is best to negotiate the price including the fuel or mileage charge at current prices or current estimated prices before the fuel prices hit the roof later. True you may have to put down a deposit but it is well worth the piece to have peace of mind that can bring later on. It is also wise to see if a family member can transport with the loved one as a means of reducing anxiety forr everyone concerned, provide more individual attention and care to your loved one as well as help to reduce the staffing necessary in an emergency situation. This helps to free the company up to be of assistance to other and cut their costs as well. This is a win-win-win situation for all concerned. The patient/loved one gets the love and attention they need and want, the company gets more help and support while reducing costs and the family attending care loved ones have made the best plans they can under difficult circumstances of helping the handicapped in a hurricane disaster.

I hope all who have special needs family members / loved ones will start now to prepare for a hurricane situation whenever it should occur.


COMMENTS WELCOMED!


Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?

Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.

All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!


Terrie


Web Site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/

Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com/

Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. Her latest book is: Train For A Hurricane. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.

©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved

All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.


Nursing Home, Relatives Settle Rita Suit

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jK518EkzDL0HQN7Bdiri_aZU1jlw

2 hours ago

HOUSTON (AP) — The families of all 23 nursing home patients who died in a bus explosion as they fled Hurricane Rita have settled their lawsuits against the nursing home that evacuated them, lawyers said.

Lawyers for the families and for Sunrise Senior Living Services Inc., of McLean, Va., said terms of the settlement were confidential.

Brighton Gardens, a Houston-area assisted living community owned by Sunrise, bussed residents north as Hurricane Rita approached the Texas coast two years ago. A rear wheel of the bus caught fire in the early morning of Sept. 23, 2005, on a freeway near Dallas. Within minutes the vehicle was engulfed in flames and smoke.

Those who died in the fire were too frail to escape the bus on their own. Fourteen passengers survived.

"I would say our differences have been amicably resolved, and both sides are happy to put those issues behind them," said attorney Randy Sorrels, who represents some of the victims' families.

Spokesman Jamison Gosselin said Sunrise Senior Living had settled all claims against it. "This has been a heart-wrenching time for many people, and we certainly share their sadness," he said.

A federal investigation found the bus fire started when poorly lubricated wheel bearings overheated in the right rear well, igniting a tire. The fire spread to oxygen canisters in the bus's cabin, causing them to explode.

Victims and relatives of victims last year reached an $11 million settlement with the bus company, Global Limo Inc., and BusBank, the travel broker that hired it.

Hurricane Season Quite -- Cheap Time To Stock Up on Hurricane Supplies!

9.25.2007

Hurricane Season Quite -- Cheap Time To Stock Up on Hurricane Supplies!


Those of us who live on the US Atlantic East Coast have been very fortunate in many ways this hurricane season. We have not had any serious hurricanes to contend with. No one certainly wants to have to live through the torrential rains and howling rains of a hurricane.


Yet hurricanes DO have their benefits. Many in the South have been experiencing record breaking long runs of unbearable heat. This summer 100F temperatures were repeated day after day ‘down South’. In the Mid-Atlantic States the drought of 2007 has been a devastating one. Hurricanes bring relief to parched and hot lands.


No one wants the destruction of a hurricane but there are silver linings for many when a hurricane arrives. Those silver linings certainly help the farmers and even the fishing crews since the much of the fresh water fishing has also been impacted by the drought and higher concentration of certain chemicals in the water due to little rain.


According to the meteorologists we are still looking at some storms to be aware of. Some may turn into tropical storms and spread much needed rain to the Atlantic seaboard. That will be good news to some farmers. One storm in particular that is still 1500+ miles away appears to be developing in a manner that could possibly become a hurricane later on. No one knows for sure but it is one that we need to be aware of.


We still have two months this hurricane season. If it is a quite hurricane season, than all the better. We have more time to get our supplies in at the cheapest prices possible. End of the summer season is a great time to check prices and purchase large ticket and / or often used hurricane preparation items:

Ø generators

Ø coolers

Ø propane tanks

Ø Tarps

Ø Plastic outdoor storage boxes are great places to store the propane tanks, tarps and other bulky but necessary items that are very helpful in hurricane emergencies.


With children already back to school, many of the remaining back to school supplies may be at reduced prices sine store managers want o empty those shelves for the holiday merchandise stocked high in their storage rooms eagerly waiting to be made available for sale. , this is also a great time to pick up:

back packs that can be used as your Get & Go’ bags should you need to evacuate in an emergency at some point. Remember every member of the family should have their own Get & Go pack including each pet!


After Halloween is a good time to pick up the hard candies and other snacks at half to 90% off pre-holiday prices. Place them in air tight storage containers and put them in the back of the freezer. They will last a long time and you will have them at the cheapest prices of the year.


Discount dollar stores are now displaying their Halloween and Christmas stock. They are desperate to get rid of as much of the summer stock as possible. Pick up several of the inflatable large floating cushions - loungers that are easy to keep folded until needed. These are great air mattresses to have should you need to sleep outside or your bed is damaged in a hurricane storm. Check to see if the rechargeable or hand operated hand pumps are on sales as well. Sure beats blowing up air mattresses by lung power!


If you don’t have ply-wood for your windows etc, now is the time to pick it up at some of the lowest prices in years. With the housing slump and so far no major hurricanes this season in the US to place heavy demand on ply-wood, the prices have not been so reasonable for years. Measure all your doors and windows to make sure you are buying the quantity you will need and then buy the wood at discount prices. Then store as flooring in your attic or in the rafters of your garage. Cut or at least mark off the correct sizes you will need for every window and door. MARK EACH OF THE PIECES OF WOOD so in the midst of the hurricane preparation rush you will know exactly what piece of wood goes where. You might even want to make a list and place it in a plastic zip bag and keep it with the wood along with the nails or screws, etc so everything is located right where you need them. By making plywood used as additional or temporary flooring in your attic or garage rafters, you can then place much of your hurricane supplies on top of the plywood and everything is ready to go should you need it.


COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?

Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.

All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie

Web Site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/

Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com/

Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. Her latest book: Train For A Hurricane. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.

©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved

All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.

Monday, September 24, 2007

The Ongoing Wounds of Hurricane Katrina

9.24.2007

The Ongoing Wounds of Hurricane Katrina

Traumatological loss due to a critical incident does not go way quickly. In fact it is just the opposite. Critical Incident traumatalogical loss also known as critical incident thanostic loss has a snowball affect that builds and gathers speed. It is a dirty snowball of sticks and stones of broken homes, lives, dreams and hopes. It can feel like Dante’s hell for those who MUST live through it.

Additionally there is compounded and complex grief that has not been resolved in the Katrina experience. The more complex the grief and compounding of the losses that are experienced individually and collectively, the harder it is to accomplish the tasks of grieving when the world around you is no longer grieving and desperately wants as well as unmercifully expects you to STOP GRIEVING if you are one of those from the Katrina experience.

Unrealistic expectations by society and many in the helping profession think that since it has been 2 years or so since the ravishing winds tore through the gulf coast, that grief, pain and suffering should be over with is absolutely outlandish. These people who were so profoundly affected by Hurricane Katrina as still living in the early stages of the graveyard walk to the grave. There is little resolution to the traumas Hurricane Katrina Survivors experienced, the pain and suffering as well as the wounds that are only getting more complex and more silent in our society because our general society does not want to: see no grief-- hear no grief --speak no grief – feel no grief.

Society in general does not want to have to contend with the elongated sticky stuff of grief. It is elongated in that critical incident loss does not go away quickly. It is impossible for it to be push away into the dustpan of history.

No disrespect to a rape victim, but a mass critical incident event has so many more components to it from the publicity to the dashed hope of recovery to the abandonment that is experienced on top of all the compounded frustrations of trying to rebuild lives that are so shattered in so many ways.

Such scaring events as Hurricane Katrina may not be able to be resolved in a few years; it may take decades and even generations to work through it. Since we have frankly not done even a marginal job of helping with the emotional thanostic issues of death, loss and non-reconstruction of individual and community lives, I seriously doubt if we will see a the possibility of a full recovery for a very long time.

Think about it. A rape victim may be able to go to a place that will feel safe for her/him that is at least familiar and has things that speak of love and comfort from another time and circumstance. It may be a pair of slippers, a photograph, the fact that they can take all the precautions they wish to begin the process to feel safer in their own skin and environment.

Now think of the person who has NO slippers, nothing that is familiar that might speak of comfort and there is no door left of their home to lock to feel safer. What is left is marred or destroyed by mud and dirty smelly water.

I, in no way want to minimize in any way the terrible experience a person who has been raped has experienced and the pain of such a recovery journey. It is a ghastly theft of personal sense of safety, personhood and personal dignity from someone else. I stand in awe and admire all those who live through and rebuild their lives in spite of and because of such tragic events.

What I am saying is that in a mass fatality of a mega-regional community trauma, the recovery process is nothing like which occurs on a personal or even on a family / cohort basis. Hurricane Katrina was / is as close as the US as ever experienced of the atomic bombs that hit and slot parts of Japan. Even to this very day the wounds of those traumatic events affect not only the immediate survivors but also the generations present and yet unborn physically, emotionally and spiritually

.

Please don’t think that a few years and a couple of band aids will make the wounds of Hurricane Katrina go away. Stop fooling yourselves and wake up to the devastation that has occurred. The fact that many have not wanted to or been able to return to their homes and original lives speaks volumes of the intensity of the tragedy that occurred. The hurricane disaster still goes on.

We in the United States are so phobic of the sticky muck of death, grief, sorry and slow recovery. We are an instantaneous society that wants everything done quickly-- like instant coffee and popcorn out of the microwave. Sorry to pop the delusional bubble of instant gratification and desire for 30 minutes to happy endings on TV sit-coms. That is not what is part of REAL LIFE and certainly not the experience of those who are living in the dark night of the soul of traumatic grief and loss.

We want to see a quick fix to the death and sorrow and desperately want the happy sounds of Dixieland bands after the trip to the cemetery to burry the Gulf Coast community of the Hurricane Katrina days. We want to race our way out the gates of the cemetery, Sorry, but the dirge is still slowly and mournfully walking TOWARDS the grave. We have not had the time and opportunity to place to rest the pain, brokenness and suffering of Katrina.

Perhaps the storm known as Hurricane Katrina has long since blown past but the REAL hurricane disaster is the day in and day out living in the aftermath and initial experiences of the long d-r-a-w-n o-u-t p-r-o-c-e-s-s of recovery. If you had to stop for a second to slow down to read those dashed out words of the description that is the tiniest of experience of what it is like to have to slow down, struggling to even try to figure out the simplest of things in everything you do to even attempt to start take the fist halting steps in the painful hurricane recovery. Even a drawn out complex sentence is unwelcome in our fast paced society today.

Ask those in New York City about their painful recovery after 9-11. It still haunts them and there is only a gaping whole where the two towers use to stand. In the post-Hurricane Katrina region the debris moldy and rotting unfortunately still stands and still smells. The clean-up is still going on. There are still missing bodies and unclaimed bodies at the morgue.

No wonder the crime rate and violence is intensifying exponentially in the communities of the Katrina region. It is no surprise that New Orleans is such a Mecca of killings and violence. People are surprised by it, but they shouldn’t be. What happens on the outside expressions in a community is only the tip of wound that is infested and deepening within the hearts, minds and lives of those who are living through the Katrina experience.

There is a hurricane Katrina cancer that eats away at the entity of those who are struggling to recover. Unless we stop the band aid affect of quick fix emotional stuff and think it is all better and start the process of living through the honest and very real grief process, then the suicides and the homicides, the substance abuse, child/spouse/partner abuse and all the rest if the social ills will not stop. It will only get worse.

It is an insult to all concerned to even dare to consider the experience of a time specific tragedy of a rape or mugging and that of a mass fatality of a hurricane that is still on-going 2 years later. One was foisted by vicious, controlling human action by the choice of the perpetrator on an innocent victim, the other by a vicious non-controllable action by nature itself, compounded by human lack of action, inappropriate reaction and lack of serious preoperational action by society as a whole.

The good news from the study is that we can learn from the mass fatality tragedies of human and property loss and begin to learn what it really means to be present in through and with those that travel the journey from bereavement to mourning to grief to someday perhaps the ongoing process of recovery. If we as a society are not willing to be in active and full presence with our sisters and brothers in that painful process than none of us will recover in a healthy manner. If we do not know the difference between mourning, bereavement and grief then we have much to learn and we start by knowing that each means and how to live in the presence of each. For you see it is not only those who are Katrina affected individuals that must learn these things, it is all of us, for no one is an island – the bell tolls for all of us.

COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?
Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.
All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie


Web Site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/
Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com/
Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.
©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved
All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.

Kaiser Daily Health Policy Report

Coverage & Access | Survivors of Hurricane Katrina Experience Psychological Stress, Survey Finds

[Sep 24, 2007]

http://www.kaisernetwork.org/daily_reports/rep_index.cfm?DR_ID=47699

The percentage of New Orleans residents reporting signs of severe mental illness increased from 11% to 14% between March 2006 and this summer, compared with about 6% before Hurricane Katrina hit more than two years ago, according to a recent Harvard Medical School survey, the Washington Post reports. The survey also found that the percentage of people in New Orleans who reported suicidal thoughts increased from 3% to 8% between March 2006 and the summer of 2007.

According to the Post, "it is not Hurricane Katrina itself but the persistent frustrations of the delayed recovery that are exacting a high psychological toll of people who never before had such troubles," psychiatrists say. Calls to mental health hot lines in the area surged after the hurricane and have remained high, according to organizers. In addition, area psychiatrists are overbooked because of a heightened demand.

Ronald Kessler, a professor of health care policy at Harvard and leader of the study, said, "It's really stunning in juxtaposition to what these kinds of surveys have shown after other disasters, or after people have been raped or mugged." Typically, "people have a lot of trouble the first night and the first month afterward. Then you see a lot of improvement," he said. However, with the rebuilding process in New Orleans going slowly, residents are "in this stage of where there are a lot of people just kind of giving up," Kessler said.

Daphne Glindmeyer, a New Orleans psychiatrist and president of the Louisiana Psychiatric Medical Association, said, "There's more depression, more financial problems, more marital conflict, more thoughts of suicide," adding, "And a lot of it is in people who never had any trouble before" (Whoriskey, Washington Post, 9/23).

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Another Hurricane Possibly??

Another Hurricane?

Today is the first day of Autumn. Many think that since this is the days of golden autumn that we have passed out of the window of hurricane danger. Well I can appreciate the thought that now there is little threat to having a hurricane. Perhaps but according to the article below we may or may not have another threat. So folks we are not out of the woods yet. Hurricane season is STILL HERE
No after what occurs in the weather, isn’t it better to be prepared? If we are ready for the hurricanes that come our way then we will be ready for many other forms of disasters that occur on a regular basis.

Something to think about. Check out a good article on weatherblog (see below).

COMMENTS WELCOMED!
Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?
Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.
All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.
Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie

Web Site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/
Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com/
Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.
©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved
All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.




Storm near Yucatan taking shape
http://weatherblog.abc13.com/2007/09/storm-near-yuca.html?cid=83778579#comments

The National Hurricane Center has started running hurricane models on the storm in the Yucatan now. Early output shows what our exclusive FutureTrack showed yesterday. The system will move across the Peninsula tonight and could develop into a tropical storm on Sunday. There is still a possibility this storm could become a hurricane on Monday because wind shear is light and water temps in the Gulf are in the mid 80s. Depending on the speed of the storm it could be approaching the Texas/Louisiana coast late Monday or early Tuesday. If this thing does develop however, watches and warnings could go up late Sunday.
It looks like the storm will be moving pretty fast which means two things. (1) The fast movement limits the amount of time over warm water which in theory should keep it from strengthening. Then again, Felix and Dean were moving 20 mph and both of them developed into Category 5 storms. So much for that theory. (2) More importantly perhaps, the fast movement limits our response time.
Let's be clear. This storm might not develop at all. We could end up with heavy rain or sunshine depending on what develops or where it tracks. It's like that with every tropical system.

No Hurricane Jerry Thankfully!!!!!

No Hurriicane Jerry Thankfully!!! Other hurricane potential still out there

Many tonight are saying that Jerry will not develop into a hurricane. I agree it most likely will not, there just doesn’t seem to be enough organization to it and the wind sheer is reducing the possibility even more. Good news for us this time. The operative words in the preceding sentence is “this time” Seablooger.com puts it very well.

What is important is that EVERYONE SHOULD be prepared no matter what the situation. Since we have weather on our earth, than we all need to be prepared when the weather is possibly developing into a dangerous condition. Hurricanes are one type of example of a dangerous weather condition. Do YOU have your disaster kit?

COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?
Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.
All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.

Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie

Web Site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/
Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com/
Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.
©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved
All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.

Dr. Terrie Modesto, PhD, author of Train For A Hurricane, is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response. She has over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit around the world, with over 20 years experience in assisting those in need.
Blog www.trainforahurricaneblogspot.com
Web site: http://www.trainforahurricane.com/

Jerryatrics
Sunday, 23 Sep 07, hurricanes

In its zeal to pin a name on any storm in the Atlantic Basin, NHC has designated “subtropical storm Jerry.” But look at the discussion.

THE CYCLONE LACKS A WELL-DEFINED INNER CORE WITH MULTIPLE LOW-CLOUD SWIRLS NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER. THERE IS A NARROW WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THE SYSTEM TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER. HOWEVER, COOLING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING SHEAR WILL PROBABLY LIMIT THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A LARGE AND VIGOROUS EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVERTAKING JERRY WITHIN 48 HOURS, SO THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BECOME ABSORBED BY THIS LARGER SYSTEM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

Again, as with Gabrielle and (S)TD#10, the tone is distinctly apologetic. I want to know what is going on inside NHC. Staff behavior and leadership changes suggest an organization in disarray. The public is ill-served if this forecasting division has been subverted by climate ideologues. It was probably an innocent mistake to begin naming “sub-tropical” storms, but it looks as though this loophole is being exploited by Jerryatric count-padders.

There are three actual tropical systems with potential for development in coming days. One is over Yucatan, and it could cause trouble in the Gulf of Mexico, with a Louisiana landfall looking more likely than Texas at this point. Another could strengthen near the Windwards Islands and enter the Caribbean. The third is far to the east in the deep tropics, but it is large and ominous. A busy time may be imminent at NHC. I wish I had more confidence in the people who are responsible for monitoring and predicting these systems.
Posted at 11:53 AM

Friday, September 21, 2007

No hurricane this time!

9.21.2007

Good news and worry

I just got finished glancing at the WBAL email Tropical depression coming onshore, did not strengthen, I’m thank full that the storm is not strengthening and so many communities will be spared THIS TIME but my concern for the coming months as well as next year is that we can get complacent so quickly. IF we get off easy in the US from hurricanes this year, will that mean that we will all just go back to sleep like in Brigadoon and wake up at some point facing another Hurricane Katrina with little or no preparation under our belt. Will we have hurricane survival skills and disaster kits ready to go? Will we forget the sting of Hurricane Katrina and then just want to go back to denial that we as citizens of he world MUST take responsibility for our well being and not depend on some government or aid agency to bail us out when things do get a bit rough?

Will the light hurricane season so far in the Atlantic result in our regions of he world like the southern hemisphere thinking that they will have the same sort of weather and thus have nothing got be concerned about?

I’m not a hysterical panic caller. Far from it. What I am is a realistic person who knows from experience and from academic training that disasters continue to happen and that we can not expect to forever be in a lull of little traumatic activity. I don’t want to see a hurricane ever again, especially like Hurricane Katrina. Been there and done that. Yet I don’t want to be caught with my home and loved one little hurricane prepared for the challenges that can come.

I hope that all storms will always weaken and our resolve to find productive and efficient ways to be prepared for a hurricane for when the storms strengthen.

COMMENTS WELCOMED!

Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?
Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.
All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.
Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!
Terrie
Web Site: www.trainforahurricane.com
Web Site: http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com
Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist
She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.
©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved
All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.



Tropical depression coming onshore, did not strengthen,http://mail.google.com/mail/?auth=DQAAAHgAAACjDyS4kPlmrI8T09hU3U2Dfkmd40uhCIXBSRVVb6PJqS8nUMzEg-w5RxMODw7TjLcDNHLTRrvXfRZRbLgvSXwa8_A83ZVgTniQufJBt-FLWlIdo19pe3stknVtgv0HdmfWCWMy_9-TOoJvq-lmEmaB5v3hjNMGM9y8RfVQYgkVvg

At 700 pm cdt, 0000 utc, the tropical storm warning for the gulf coast has been discontinued.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 700 pm cdt, 0000z, the center of tropical depression ten was almost onshore near latitude 30.4 north, longitude 86.7 west, near fort walton beach Florida.

The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph. This motion is expected to continue tonight, bringing the center of the depression farther inland.

Radar and surface observations indicate that the depression has not strengthened and maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph, 55 km/hr, in a few squalls, with higher gusts. A gradual weakening should begin tonight after the center moves farther inland.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 1005 mb, 29.68 inches.

Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches, can be expected in association with the depression.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over southwestern georgia, the florida panhandle, and southeastern alabama through tonight.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels can be expected in areas of onshore flow tonight.

Repeating the 700 pm cdt position, 30.4 n, 86.7 w. Movement toward, northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 35 mph. Minimum central pressure, 1005 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 1000 pm cdt.

Hurricanes as indicators in Global Warming

9.21.2007

Hurricanes As Indicators In Global Warming

I just finished reading an exceptional article from the Journal Science concerning Hurricanes and global warming. Excellent article with some highly skilled and renowned leaders in the fields of climatology and Atmospheric Science and Meteorology. Yes it is a long article and yes it is a bit up there in the academic clouds of language BUT it also speaks volumes on what every one should be understanding about our future hurricane conditions.


Today I wrote a blog article about the sandwich of a hurricane and tropical storm that we in the US will experience in the next several days. These are mild storms. Yet the natural disaster and hurricane storms in particular as forecasts for the future are not as rosy as these current conditions.


We look at Hurricane Katrina and shake our heads and say how terrible that WAS . Are we shaking our heads and asking WHAT WILL BE? The issues of critical incident thanostic (death and loss) related disasters and the role of weather is only going to be increasing in intensity along side that of the storms that we will be confronted with.


As a critical incident thanatologist, I look not only at the swirling maps and think of only of the rain and the wind. My eyes see the swirls of pain and suffering that are associated with the dreaded storms in the everyday lives of individuals that are profoundly affected by these natural evens.


With more people living closer to the coastal areas and the severity of the storms that are and will occur, the conditions are ripe for the unfortunate results of mass fatalities and vast loss of property. We will need to quickly and appropriately review with a very critical eye the infrastructure and community environment that these hurricanes will affect. But it is not enough to only look at the levies and bridges as well as the shore line and weather maps. That is looking at things in a micro fashion with a band aid. A much broader view and response must be taken and the actions must be effective, comprehensive and time sensitive with a large dose of hurricane education on individual responsibility for self protection, hurricane response and hurricane recovery.


What we also need to be looking at is how do people react to the threat of a potential disaster, how well prepared are they and how do they recover. We will need to develop ways to effectively help individuals move from a view that it ”can’t happen to them’ or that the ‘government and aid organizations are able to take care of any difficulties that may occur’. This is so unrealistic a mind set and will not only cost our local and national governments untold billions in cost but the cost to the emotional psyche of the affected nations and the local community will be beyond measure.


Part of that attitude is the result of lack of education of how to prepare respond and recover from a hurricane as well as an education on the responsibilities that individual must have to prepare, respond and recover from the forces of a hurricane as well as other naturally related events in our weather conditions.


Schools are great at teaching some things but there will need to be numerous courses offered on all educational levels and situations as to how to develop the ability to cope with the hurricane trauma and other disasters. If we don’t start at a very early age to foster the physical skills and emotional abilities to deal productively and effectively with hurricanes and other disasters then our global society is in an even more grave position that that of just the escalation of the weather conditions and their intensity.


We talk about leaving no child behind in school. That is a noble ideal but we need to develop and quickly the tools, resources and mindset that no person will be left behind in developing their skills, talents and abilities to prepare, respond effectively and ultimately to recover from disasters. If we do not as a nation and as a world help ourselves and our neighbors to learn how to prepare, survive and recover physically, emotionally and financially from the many disasters that may be headed our way, than the worse disaster will not be the weather but our lack of critical incident survival education.

COMMENTS WELCOMED!


Are you or have you been in a hurricane disaster? Do you know someone who is recovering or has been affected by a hurricane in the past?


Please share your thoughts and stories here on this blog.


All I ask is that everyone be respectful and sensitive of each other and that identifying information about a person who is not the author be limited to protect their privacy.


Pease, Blessings & Be Safe!

Terrie

Web Site: www.trainforahurricane.com

Web Site http://trainforahurricane.blogspot.com

Dr. Terrie Modesto, Critical Incident Thanatologist

She is an international expert in dying, death, loss and critical incident individual and community disaster preparation and response, with over 60 courses, books and training manuals to her credit. She has 20+ years experience in assisting those in need. Dr. Modesto is available for consultations, lectures media interviews.

©2007 Train For A Hurricane.com All rights reserved

All writings here are copyrighted by Terrie Modesto and Train For A Hurricane.com. You may not use them without written permission but you may link to the posts or give out a link to the posts.

Hurricanes and Climate Change: What's Resolved and What Remains To Be Resolved?

http://www.hillheat.com/events/2007/09/21/hurricanes-and-climate-change-whats-resolved-and-what-remains-to-be-resolved


Is there a scientific basis for anticipating that human-induced climate warming does and/or will affect hurricanes in some way, over and above natural climate variability? Do observations and model simulations support that expectation, or are there issues with data and observations that make the task of sorting out linkages more difficult? If the latter, what are the observational and data issues that continue to make this a challenging scientific problem? What do we know now that we did not know two years ago? What role do model simulations play in helping to sort out linkages, if any, between global warming and hurricanes, in the absence of data/observation or the presence of unreliable data/observations? How can we best develop a coordinated national effort to provide urgently required information for planning, community response and infrastructure development.

Moderator


* Dr. Anthony Socci, Senior Science Fellow, American Meteorological Society


Speakers


* Dr. Kerry Emanuel, Professor of Atmospheric Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA

* Dr. William K. M. Lau, Chief, Laboratory for Atmospheres, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD

* Dr. Greg Holland, Director, Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, Earth and Sun Systems Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

* Dr. Gabriel Vecchi, Research Oceanographer, Climate diagnostics Group, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab/NOAA, Princeton, NJ.

* Thomas R. Knutson, Research Meteorologist, Climate Dynamics and Prediction Group, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab/NOAA, Princeton, NJ.


Overview of Hurricanes and Climate Change (a.k.a. global warming)


The understanding of climate change, including its effects on hurricanes, rests on three essential scientific techniques: theory, observation, and computational modeling. Each of these three approaches has unique strengths and limitations. In this talk, I will discuss the application of each of these to understanding the effect of climate change on hurricane activity and demonstrate that while each approach is compromised by uncertainties, taken together they present a persuasive picture of increasing hurricane risk as the climate warms.

Rainfall Extremes, Saharan Dust, Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change


Trends in tropical rainfall are more readily detectable in the form of changes in rainfall characteristics, rather than in rainfall total. From satellite data, we find that in the tropics there is a strong positive trend in extreme heavy and very light rains, coupled to a negative trend in moderate rain. Climatologically over tropical oceans, a large portion (over 60%) of most extreme heavy rainfall (top 5%) can be identified with those coming from tropical cyclones. Over the Atlantic, the contribution of tropical cyclones to heavy rain events has almost doubled in the last quarter century. Over the Pacific basin, the increase is lesser at about 10%. The differences in the basin may be related to the percentage change in the warm pool (SST> 28 ºC) areas in both oceans. Overall, tropical cyclones appear to be feeding more extreme rainfall events in the tropics in recent decades.


Saharan dust can affect tropical cyclones development, and may be a factor contributing to long-term hurricane statistics and possibly in seasonal hurricane forecasts. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) can suppress tropical cyclogenesis through entrainment of hot, dry air into a developing cyclone, increasing stability and denying the developing system of its moisture supply. Saharan dust may also pre-condition the Atlantic, cooling the ocean surface through attenuation of solar radiation, during the early hurricane season. Additionally, differential radiative heating of the atmosphere by Saharan dust may induce changes in the large-scale circulation over the West Africa and Atlantic region. All these effects may provide a feedback on the coupled ocean-atmosphere system over the Atlantic, modulating the seasonal statistics of hurricanes. Analyses of satellite data and historical records show a more (less) active hurricane season is generally associated with less (more) Saharan dust over the Atlantic.


Global Warming and Hurricane Activity


The past century has seen North Atlantic hurricanes occurring in three periods of relatively stable frequency separated by sharp upward transitions. Each period has experienced 50% more hurricanes than the previous one and each was associated with a distinct change in eastern Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs). After taking account of missing cyclones in earlier periods due to poor observing systems, we have experienced an 80-100% increase in hurricane frequency over since the early 1900s. Natural variability has contributed to some of the observed changes, but the compelling conclusion is that the overall increase has been substantially influenced by greenhouse warming. Superimposed on this increasing hurricane frequency is a completely independent oscillation in the proportions of major and minor hurricanes (compared to all storms). This oscillation has no distinguishable net trend and may arise largely from internal oscillations of the climate system. The period of enhanced major hurricane activity during 1945-1964 arose entirely from this oscillation. Unfortunately, the period since 1995 has experienced a double-whammy of a sharp increase in both numbers of hurricanes and the proportion of major hurricanes.


This heightened hurricane activity is unlikely to decrease in the future and we may see further increases. If so, current planning, building and coastal levee systems may prove to be inadequate, leading to more New Orleans-type disasters. The National Hurricane Research Initiative is designed to provide us with the tools to assess this future threat, to develop improved forecast and community response approaches, and to establish coastal planning approach to minimize the potential for future disasters. It is an initiative of critical national importance, which deserves strong and urgent support.


Long-term changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity: Looking Forward and Looking Back


To understand how human-induced climate change influences global and Atlantic tropical cyclone activity it is essential to have accurate records of past tropical cyclone variations and to model future climate conditions. The ways that tropical cyclones are measured have evolved over time, thereby influencing the homogeneity of the record. Statistical techniques can help, however, to estimate these deficiencies in the century-scale record. To project future conditions, global climate models (GCMs) – though not perfect – are our best tools. Although current computing power prevents GCMs from explicitly representing tropical cyclones, GCMs do indicate robust changes in many of the large-scale environmental conditions that are known to influence tropical cyclone activity, such as the thermodynamic structure of the atmosphere and vertical wind shear. Analyses of climate models and reconstructions of past tropical cyclone records indicate:


* Observational evidence for century-scale changes in tropical cyclone activity is mixed, depending on the metric chosen, on the statistical correction applied to the data and on the time interval being examined.

* Climate model projections of the Atlantic and East Pacific response to global warming exhibit mixed changes in cyclone-relevant parameters, with both an increase in thermodynamic potential intensity of tropical cyclones and an increase in vertical wind shear. More refined methods are needed to understand the detailed response of tropical cyclones to these environmental changes.

* Outside of the Atlantic and East Pacific, projected changes to both the thermodynamic potential and the wind shear indicate conditions more favorable to tropical cyclone activity under global warming.

* Although questions remain about the detailed response of tropical cyclone activity to human-induced climate change, we have relatively much greater confidence in the projected response of other large-scale climate conditions to increasing greenhouse gases (e.g., global warming, surface temperatures over land warm faster than over ocean, Arctic sea ice reduction, increase in ocean heat content, etc.).


Modeling the Response of Atlantic Hurricanes to Climate Variability and Change


A pressing question concerning ongoing global warming is whether human-caused warming of the planet has had any discernible impact on Atlantic hurricane activity. Confidence in any such a link is currently hampered by both data quality issues for the hurricane observational record and by limited work specifically targeting this question from a modeling perspective. Based on existing studies to date:


* Observed data, including consideration of data problems, give conflicting indications on whether there have been significant increases in Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane numbers. U.S. land-falling numbers have not increased. Models have not yet reproduced some reported long-term (~100 yr) increasing trends in basin-wide numbers.

* High resolution models consistently project increasing hurricane intensities and rainfall rates for the late 21st century, but whether there will be more or fewer hurricanes remains uncertain.

* A new modeling approach reproduces many important aspects of Atlantic hurricane activity observed since 1980, and thus shows promise as a tool for both understanding past variations and for making more reliable projections of future hurricane activity.

Biographies Dr. Kerry Emanuel is a professor of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where he has been on the faculty since 1981, after spending three years as a faculty member at UCLA. Professor Emanuel’s research interests focus on tropical meteorology and climate, with a specialty in hurricane physics. His interests also include cumulus convection, and advanced methods of sampling the atmosphere in aid of numerical weather prediction. He is the author or co-author of over 100 peer-reviewed scientific papers, and three books, including Divine Wind: The History and Science of Hurricanes, recently released by Oxford University Press and aimed at a general audience, and What We Know about Climate Change, published by the MIT Press.

Dr. William Lau is currently the Chief of the Laboratory for Atmospheres at NASA, Goddard Space Flight Center, and Adjunct Professor at Department of Meteorology U. of Maryland. His research work spans three decades and covers a wide range of topics including climate dynamics, tropical and monsoon meteorology, ocean-atmosphere interaction, and climate variability and change.


Dr. Lau has received numerous awards for his research and his scientific leadership, including among others, the AMS Meisinger Award in 1997; the John Lindsay Award,1998; the NASA Exceptional Science Achievement Award, 1991; the William Nordberg Award (GSFC highest award in Earth Sciences), 2002. He is a Goddard Senior Fellow, a fellow of the American Meteorological Society since 1988, and a fellow of the American Geophysical Union, 2007. Dr. Lau has published over 190 refereed papers, book Chapters in refereed journals. He is the principal author of a book “Intraseasonal Variability in the Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere System”, published in 2006. Dr. Lau received his B. Sc. in Physics and Mathematics from the University of Hong Kong, and his Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington, Seattle.


Dr. Greg Holland is currently Director of the Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, where he is involved scientifically with hurricane landfall, genesis and climate related work. He is a fellow of the American Meteorological Society as well as the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society. Dr. Holland has several areas of research interests which have carried through to applications and include improved forecasting of tropical cyclone motion, scale interactions associated with cyclogenesis, establishment of field facilities, establishment of programs on coastal impacts of tropical cyclones and the development of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs).


Dr. Holland has authored or co-authored more than 120 peer-reviewed scientific journal articles and book chapters, as well as dozens of planning documents, scientific prospectuses and workshop papers. He has given several hundred invited talks worldwide, as well as many contributed presentations at national and international conferences on hurricanes and related. He has also convened several national and international workshops, and served on several national and international committees and science-planning initiatives.


Dr. Gabriel Vecchi is a Research Oceanographer at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) in Princeton, New Jersey, where he has been working since 2003. GFDL, which is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), is one of the world’s leading climate modeling centers. Dr. Vecchi received a B.A. in Mathematics from Rutgers University, and an M.S. in Oceanography, an M.S. in Applied Mathematics and a Ph.D. in Oceanography from the University of Washington. His scientific research focuses on the interactions between the atmosphere and oceans on timescales from weeks to centuries. His recent research has focused on understanding long-term changes to tropical circulation and variability, including characterizing changes relevant to the possible impact of climate change on hurricanes.


Dr. Vecchi currently serves on the Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) Indian Ocean Panel, and is an Associate Editor of the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. His awards include the Presidential Early Career Award for Scientists and Engineers (PECASE), the American Geophysical Union’s Editor’s Citation for Excellence in Refereeing for Geophysical Research Letters, and the Cook College, Rutgers University Marine Sciences Student of the Year. He has over 30 publications in peer-reviewed science journals or book chapters.


Thomas R. Knutson has been a Research Meteorologist at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) in Princeton, New Jersey since 1990. GFDL, which is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, is one of the world’s leading climate modeling centers. Mr. Knutson has authored several modeling studies in major scientific journals on the potential impact of climate change on hurricanes. He now leads a project at GFDL aimed at simulating past and future Atlantic hurricane activity using regional high-resolution models.


He currently serves on the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Expert Team on Climate Impacts on Tropical Cyclones, and was a major contributor to the December 2006 WMO “Statement on Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change”. He is a member of a U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) committee developing an assessment report on “Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate,” the AMS Climate Variability and Change Committee, and is an Associate Editor of the Journal of Climate. Mr. Knutson has over 30 publications in peer-reviewed science journals or book chapters.

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